Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#322
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#323
Pace78.7#19
Improvement-1.9#258

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#322
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.0#235

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#322
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.8#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 31   @ Virginia Tech L 79-111 2%     0 - 1 -17.1 +7.5 +7.5
  Nov 18, 2017 190   Seattle L 71-102 22%     0 - 2 -33.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 19, 2017 334   Houston Baptist W 116-109 OT 62%     1 - 2 -6.3 -6.7 -6.7
  Nov 22, 2017 134   @ Saint Louis W 72-70 9%     2 - 2 +6.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Nov 28, 2017 161   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 82-91 10%     2 - 3 -5.5 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 03, 2017 44   @ UCLA L 73-106 2%     2 - 4 -19.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Dec 06, 2017 122   Toledo L 86-89 17%     2 - 5 -3.2 -0.1 -0.1
  Dec 09, 2017 188   Western Michigan L 79-87 30%     2 - 6 -12.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Dec 16, 2017 10   Michigan L 58-90 2%     2 - 7 -15.8 +8.1 +8.1
  Dec 19, 2017 99   East Tennessee St. L 73-81 13%     2 - 8 -6.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Dec 22, 2017 75   Murray St. L 72-81 9%     2 - 9 -4.7 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 28, 2017 266   @ Green Bay L 83-95 25%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -15.2 -1.6 -1.6
  Dec 30, 2017 208   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-87 17%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -7.8 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 05, 2018 137   Wright St. L 73-80 20%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -8.4 -0.7 -0.7
  Jan 07, 2018 106   Northern Kentucky L 54-56 14%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -0.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 10, 2018 300   Cleveland St. W 85-84 54%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -10.2 -5.6 -5.6
  Jan 12, 2018 326   Youngstown St. W 93-91 63%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -11.7 -6.8 -6.8
  Jan 16, 2018 284   @ IUPUI L 66-81 29%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -19.3 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 20, 2018 175   Oakland L 86-92 27%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -9.8 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 26, 2018 137   @ Wright St. L 55-87 9%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -27.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 28, 2018 106   @ Northern Kentucky L 44-72 6%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -20.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Feb 02, 2018 284   IUPUI W 74-60 51%     5 - 17 3 - 8 +3.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Feb 04, 2018 199   Illinois-Chicago L 69-78 32%     5 - 18 3 - 9 -14.3 -2.7 -2.7
  Feb 09, 2018 175   @ Oakland L 78-87 13%     5 - 19 3 - 10 -6.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 14, 2018 300   @ Cleveland St. L 72-75 31%     5 - 20 3 - 11 -8.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 16, 2018 326   @ Youngstown St. W 94-84 40%     6 - 20 4 - 11 +2.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 19, 2018 199   @ Illinois-Chicago L 87-94 15%     6 - 21 4 - 12 -6.3 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2018 208   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 49-72 34%     6 - 22 4 - 13 -28.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 24, 2018 266   Green Bay L 97-107 46%     6 - 23 4 - 14 -19.2 -4.6 -4.6
  Mar 02, 2018 266   Green Bay L 81-93 35%     6 - 24 -18.2 -3.1 -3.1
Projected Record 6.0 - 24.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%